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Itinai.com biomedical laboratory close up still scene close u e4996bf4 1113 41b3 8fdd 0d1e6c918068 3

Risk expression using likelihood ratios and natural frequencies in Bayesian inference tasks-a preregistered randomized-controlled crossover trial

Understanding Diagnostic Tests for Better Healthcare

Background

Medical students need to learn how to read diagnostic tests well to make smart medical decisions in the future. Natural frequencies help understand test results, but they might not always work well for tests done one after another. This study looks at whether using odds and likelihood ratios can be a good alternative for these cases.

Study Methods

In our study, we included 167 medical students and 162 psychology students. We wanted to see how well they could calculate the positive predictive values (PPV) for a single test and for two tests done in sequence. We also checked how easy the information was to understand.

Results

The results showed that:

  • Students were more accurate in calculating PPV when using natural frequencies (36.2%) compared to odds/LR (21.6%).
  • However, they were better at calculating sPPV with odds/LR (10.6%) than with natural frequencies (4.9%).
  • Students felt they understood information better when it was presented as natural frequencies rather than odds/LR.

Conclusion

Learning about odds/LR alongside natural frequencies may help medical students grasp PPV better, leading to improved diagnostic decisions.

Next Steps in Healthcare

Define Measurable Outcomes

Establish clear goals for understanding risk using various methods in healthcare settings.

Select AI Tools

Choose AI solutions that are best suited for specific clinical tasks related to risk assessment and diagnostic tests.

Implement and Expand

Start with small pilot projects, monitor results, and apply AI solutions based on real-world impacts.

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